Trump overtakes Clinton in polling average

Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton in an average of head-to-head national polls for the first time since May in the presidential race.

{mosads}Trump, the GOP nominee, now leads Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, by 0.2 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polls, 44.1 percent to 43.9 percent.

His boost in the polls comes after Republicans held their national convention in Cleveland last week.

Several recent polls have shown Trump with a slight advantage — between 1 and 4 points — over Clinton. A CNN/ORC poll released Monday morning showed Trump with a 6-point convention boost, taking him to a 3-point lead over Clinton.

A senior elections analyst at RealClearPolitics said anyone who doesn’t think Trump “can” win at this point is in “deep denial.”

That’s pretty much gone.You don’t have to believe Trump *will* win,but at this point if you don’t think he *can*, you’re in deep denial. 8/8

— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) July 25, 2016

The last time Trump held a lead over Clinton in the RealClearPolitics average was at the end of May, after his two remaining primary rivals dropped their presidential bids and Trump started to pivot toward the general election.

Statistician Nate Silver also said Monday that Trump would be favored to win the general election if it happened today. According to Silver’s website, FiveThirtyEight, Trump leads Clinton, 57.5 percent to 42.5 percent, in that scenario.