Democratic challenger Frisch gains lead on Boebert in new poll

Adam Frisch, the Democrat who came close to beating Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) in last year’s midterms, has gained a slight lead over the incumbent, according to a poll released Tuesday. 

A recent poll of likely voters in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District found Frisch, a former Aspen City Council member, has a 2-point lead over Boebert, with 50 percent voting for Frisch and 48 percent voting for Boebert, according to a polling memo from Keating Research shared with The Hill by Frisch’s campaign.

Keating Research said Frisch has a 17-point advantage with unaffiliated voters, with 57 percent of voters showing support for Frisch compared to 40 percent for Boebert. Frisch’s campaign previously said unaffiliated voters are a group it must appeal to in order to beat Boebert.

Frisch also holds a 32-point advantage among Latino voters compared to Boebert.

A majority, or 53 percent, of the voters surveyed said they view Boebert as unfavorable, while 42 percent said they see her as favorable. Meanwhile, Frisch maintained a positive favorability rating with 34 percent viewing him favorably and 26 percent unfavorably. 

The memo pointed out an 8-point Republican registration advantage; the district voted for former President Trump by an 8-point margin in 2020.  

Frisch pointed to the poll results in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, writing, “After losing to Lauren Boebert by just 546 votes last year, a brand new poll shows me LEADING Boebert by 2 points in our 2024 rematch.”  

“The results of this poll reflect exactly what we are hearing after driving over 32,000 miles across CO-3 – voters in this district are tired of Boebert’s extremism and want a representative who delivers common sense solutions for their families, their businesses, and their communities,” Frisch said in a campaign statement.

Frisch lost his challenge against Boebert in the 2022 midterms by 546 votes, a difference of less than half a percentage point. The small difference prompted an automatic recount, but Frisch conceded before the recount was completed. 

The Keating Research poll results follow polling in recent months that suggested another tight race between the two candidates.  

Last month, Frisch’s campaign reported bringing in $2.6 million in the second fundraising quarter, which was reportedly three times more than Boebert’s roughly $818,000, according to the Colorado Sun.

Frisch announced earlier this year he would renew his challenge against Boebert.

The poll was conducted by Keating Research on Aug. 8-15 through a live-interview phone survey of 801 likely November 2024 voters in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percent. 

The Hill has reached out to Boebert’s office for comment.

Updated at 3:54 pm.