NOAA predicting ‘above normal’ hurricane season in 2021 update

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting an above-normal hurricane season in its mid-season update for the year.

NOAA scientists say there is a 65 percent chance the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs through the end of November, will be above normal, according to a Wednesday press release from the agency.

“After a record-setting start, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season does not show any signs of relenting as it enters the peak months ahead,” Rick Spinrad, NOAA administrator, said.

“NOAA will continue to provide the science and services that are foundational to keeping communities prepared for any threatening storm,” Spinrad added.

The agency expects 15 to 21 named storms, seven to ten hurricanes and three to five hurricanes that are Category 3 or above.

“A mix of competing oceanic and atmospheric conditions generally favor above-average activity for the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season, including the potential return of La Nina in the months ahead,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

The prediction comes after Hurricane Elsa broke the record for the earliest fifth named storm at the beginning of July.

“Now is the time for families and communities to ensure their preparations are in place,” National Weather Service Director Louis Uccellini said. “These storms can be devastating, so be prepared for all possible outcomes by staying tuned to the forecast and following safety information and possible evacuation notifications issued by emergency officials.”