Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has a 90 percent chance of winning the White House over Republican Donald Trump, according to a new analysis.
Clinton has the edge over Trump in estimates of both the popular vote and the Electoral College in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project’s latest survey.
{mosads}Monday’s results found Clinton leading Trump 45 percent to 42 percent in the projected popular vote on the night before Election Day.
Clinton is also forecast to take 303 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 235, clearing the 270 threshold needed for victory Tuesday.
The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project is a weekly survey of roughly 15,000 people in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.
The latest edition of the project’s polling ended late Sunday, two days before voters cast their ballots for the presidency. It did not state a margin of error.
Reuters said its final version of the analysis is based on an overall voter turnout of about 60 percent nationwide.
The news outlet’s update of the project used that approximation, alongside voter support between Clinton and Trump in all 50 states and Washington, D.C., to arrive at its final conclusion.
The tool then ran its latest results through millions of simulations using that data to predict how the Electoral College will tilt.
Recent polling shows a tightening race at both the national and state levels as Clinton and Trump near the 2016 race’s finish line.
Clinton leads Trump by about 3 points the night before Nov. 8, according to the latest RealClearPolitics average of polls.