Consumer prices moved little last month as inflation flattened out in October, according to data released Tuesday by the Department of Labor.
The consumer price index (CPI), a closely watched gauge of inflation, stayed even with its September level last month. Prices were up 3.2 percent over the past year, far lower than September’s annual inflation rate of 3.7 percent.
The new inflation figures are a welcome sign of reprieve after three consecutive months of rising or unchanged inflation. Economists expected the annual inflation rate to drop to 3.3 percent in November, according to consensus estimates.
“October’s report had good news for both winning the long-term inflation fight and easing some short-term pain,” said Robert Frick, corporate economist with Navy Federal Credit Union.
Housing costs also rose at a much slower rate than in September, according to the Labor Department, taking another bite out of overall inflation.
The October inflation slowdown should keep the Federal Reserve on track to finish the year without another interest rate hike. The Fed has kept rates unchanged after its past two policy meetings and is expected to hold off again at its final summit of the year in December.
“Core inflation ticked down — if it had ticked up, the odds of a rate hike would have jumped, so crisis averted there,” Frick said, referring to price growth without volatile food and energy prices.
“October is just one fight in a long war against inflation, but we can count it as a victory.”
Fed officials are wary of pushing the economy into a recession after months of slowing job growth and easing prices. The Fed may stop raising rates this year, but the bank is likely to keep them higher than their pre-pandemic level to prevent another inflation flare-up.
Slowing inflation is also a crucial boost to President Biden and Democrats, who are facing deep voter resentment after more than two years of high inflation.
Americans are feeling the pinch of prices driven higher by inflation and the interest rates meant to bring them down, a politically toxic combination for Biden as he seeks another term.
Updated at 9:35 a.m.