The Hill’s 12:30 Report

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The Hill’s 12:30 Report: Trump says Dems making up polls | Senate Dems brace for immigration fight | Obama endorsing 30 House candidates | POTUS on Jimmy Kimmel | Funny bathroom signs at Clinton event | Girl Scout cookie cereal

BEFORE READING THIS FIRST ITEM, PICK A LINK FOR YOUR BACKGROUND MUSIC –> 

If you’re a millennial or younger: http://bit.ly/2en6Nmo
If you’re baby boomer through Gen-X: http://bit.ly/2f8DEwr

NOW, HERE YOU GO. YOU MAY EVEN GET A LITTLE MISTY-EYED: …on several levels. 15 days away from the election, The Hill’s Ben Kamisar pulled together a list of the 56 most memorable moments from this wild presidential race. Personal favorites: Trump fought back after Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) called him a “jackass” by giving out Graham’s personal cellphone number. Also, remember when Jim Webb revealed on a Sunday show that he killed a guy. Literally, what was this past year?? http://bit.ly/2enCIFq 

Welcome back from the weekend! I’m Cate Martel with a quick recap of what you missed this morning — and what’s on tap for the rest of the day. Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to cmartel@digital-release.digital-release.thehill.com, @CateMartel and on Facebook.

NEW POLL — IT’S A TIE: Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a dead heat at 41 percent, according to a new Investor’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence Tracking Poll. Why this matters: Pollster Nate Silver once called it the most accurate poll of the 2012 election. http://bit.ly/2exVmtT

YA, BUUUUUT: Trump claimed this morning that Democrats are making up polls to suppress his candidacy. Though it is not clear what polls Trump is referring to. He also tweeted out this morning: “We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don’t let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!” http://bit.ly/2e47ZYV

RCP AVERAGE: The RealClearPolitics polling average has Clinton up 5.8 points over Trump. http://bit.ly/2egLste

NEW TODAY — ​A ​HASSAN ENDORSEMENT: The Boston Globe has endorsed New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) in her bid to unseat Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte. “Fate dealt Kelly Ayotte a tough hand this year: The emergence of Donald J. Trump … But the New Hampshire GOP senator flunked the Trump test,” the editorial board wrote. http://bit.ly/2e46MRc

{mosads}PREPARE FOR BATTLE, YOUNG GRASSHOPPER: Via The Hill’s Alexander Bolton, Democrats are bracing for a fierce fight over immigration if Hillary Clinton wins the White House on Nov. 8. Why: Clinton has promised to send a comprehensive immigration reform package to Congress within her first 100 days. That could put Senate Dems seeking reelection in 2018 in a tough spot. In the next election cycle, Senate Dems will need to defend 25 seats, including in Republican-leaning states such as Indiana, North Dakota, West Virginia, Missouri and Montana — all of which Donald Trump seems likely to win this year. http://bit.ly/2en7wnn

WHAT TO EXPECT TODAY: Via Politico’s Edward-Isaac Dovere, President Obama is expected to endorse 30 more House candidates who are looking to flip or hold swing districts. List of candidates: http://politi.co/2f8Uc7d

TODAY IN IRONY: Eric Trump posed with a woman in an anti-Trump shirt. Photo: http://bit.ly/2eKSMwM Keep in mind: Eric Trump also posed for a photo in which he appears to be drinking lemonade out of a free cup meant for water. The internet went crazy. Photo: http://huff.to/2eDMkbd

NOTABLE TWEETS:

Lawyer Rogelio Garcia (LOL.)
Bathroom signs at Clinton’s Pensacola rally yesterday. http://bit.ly/2egucnW

ON TAP:

12:30 p.m. EDT: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) campaigns with Hillary Clinton at Saint Anselm College in Manchester, N.H.

12:30 p.m. EDT: Peter Ambler, executive director of Americans for Responsible Solutions, chats about gun regulation on the Sidewire app.

2:55 p.m. EDT: President Obama delivers remarks at a Hillary Victory Fund reception in San Diego.

3 p.m. EDT: Donald Trump holds a rally in St. Augustine, Fla.

3 p.m. EDT: Vice President Biden campaigns for Clinton in Toledo, Ohio.

3:30 p.m. EDT: Tim Kaine campaigns in West Palm Beach, Fla.

3:30 p.m. EDT: The American Enterprise Institute is hosting an event on the opioid crisis and public policy. Participants include former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), former White House adviser Van Jones, former Rep. Patrick Kennedy (D-R.I.) and AEI’s Sally Satel. Info: http://bit.ly/2dCrpYv

4 p.m. EDT: Ana Marie Cox and Tracy Sefl chat with Bob Bland on the Sidewire app. Bland is a New York fashion designer and CEO who is selling “Nasty Woman” T-shirts for Planned Parenthood.

7 p.m. EDT: Donald Trump holds a rally in Tampa, Fla.

7:15 p.m. EDT: Vice President Biden campaigns for Clinton in Dayton, Ohio.

8:50 p.m. EDT: President Obama participates in a Democratic National Committee roundtable in Los Angeles.

WHAT TO WATCH:

11:35 p.m. EDT: President Obama will appear on “Jimmy Kimmel Live.” Note: This segment will be taped at 5:50 p.m. EDT today.

NOW FOR THE FUN STUFF…:

Today is National Bologna Day!

WHAT TO EXPECT “THAT FRIEND” TO BE WEARING NEXT WEEKEND: Via The Washington Post’s Jessica Contera, here are 78 political Halloween costumes that aren’t Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump or Ken Bone. I’m lookin’ at you, Vladimir Putin on a horse. http://wapo.st/2dPapws

THIS IS A FUN SLIDESHOW TO WATCH: Curious about the weirdest things TSA has confiscated? Well, wonder no more! http://bit.ly/2dCuurp

TRENDING ON FACEBOOK — WELP, THIS IS DANGEROUS: Girl Scouts cookie-flavored cereal is coming to grocery stores. http://dailym.ai/2dPcGrI 

And because we need happy thoughts for Monday, here is how I imagine a dog’s perfect dream: http://bit.ly/2eDPnAj

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