Poll: Nelson holds 4-point lead over Scott in Florida Senate race

Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) holds a 4-point lead over Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R), a new poll finds in the final stretch of the heated race that could determine which party controls the Senate majority.

A poll conducted by Gravis Marketing found that Nelson, who is running for a fourth term, is ahead of Scott, 49 percent to 45 percent, outside the survey’s 3.5-point margin of error. Six percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Both politicians have positive job approval ratings. Forty-eight percent of likely voters approve of the job Nelson is doing, compared to 41 percent who disapprove. Meanwhile, Scott has a slightly higher approval rating, 52-41 percent.

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President Trump also has a positive job approval rating in Florida, with 50 percent who approve and 47 percent who disapprove, an uptick from his past numbers in the state. Trump won the Sunshine State by a razor-thin margin in the 2016 election.

Polls have shown a tight race in Florida. Some polls earlier this month found Nelson with a wider lead, but the last two public polls showed the race in a dead heat. The RealClearPolitics polling average has Nelson leading by 3.5 points.

Gravis also polled the nationally watched governor’s race, which shows Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D) leading former Rep. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.) by 5 points, 51 percent to 46 percent. Only 3 percent of voters said they were undecided.

The poll was conducted from Oct. 22 to 23 and surveyed 773 likely voters in Florida. The margin of error was 3.5 percentage points.