Poll: Top 2020 Democrats lead Trump and Pence in Ohio

The top three Democratic White House contenders all lead President Trump in Ohio, according to a new Emerson College poll released Thursday.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) have 6-point leads over Trump (53 percent to 47 percent). Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) leads Trump by 4 points (52 percent to 48 percent) among the Ohio registered voters surveyed.

{mosads}When polling for match-ups with Vice President Pence, Biden leads 54 percent to 46 percent while Sanders and Warren both lead 51 percent to 49 percent.

“At this point, it does not appear that the impeachment issue would significantly impact a Trump candidacy as his numbers are comparable with Pence in the head to head matchups,” Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson Polling, said.

Biden, Sanders and Warren, who are consistently polling in the top three in most national and state-level primary surveys, are buoyed by an underwater approval rating for Trump. Forty-three percent of respondents approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 51 percent disapprove. 

Democrats hope to win back Ohio, a historical swing state that Trump won by about 8 points in 2016 against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Trump overperformed in the industrial Rust Belt in that cycle, also flipping Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Democrats have indicated that they will pay extra attention to that region in the 2020 election, already scheduling their nominating conference to take place in Milwaukee. 

The Emerson College poll surveyed 837 registered Ohio voters from Sept. 29-Oct. 2 and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.