How Buck’s early retirement is a problem for Boebert

Rep. Ken Buck’s (R-Colo.) announcement that he’s leaving Congress later this month is complicating Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R-Colo.) path to winning his seat.

Buck announced in November he would not seek reelection in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, which captures the eastern portion of the state.

But he sped up his retirement Tuesday when he announced he would leave Congress toward the end of next week, prompting a special election to fill out the remainder of his term. Gov. Jared Polis (D) is on track to schedule the special election for June 25, the same day as the state’s primary. 

That’s complicated Boebert’s electoral prospects as she vies for Buck’s seat.

Boebert currently represents the state’s 3rd Congressional District on the opposite end of the state from Buck’s district. That district includes the Western Slope and much of southern Colorado.  

Late last year, however, Boebert announced she was running for Buck’s seat after she barely won reelection against Democrat Adam Frisch in her district. Frisch is running for the 3rd District again, which would have created another expensive and competitive House race for Boebert.  

Both parties will nominate candidates for the June 25 special election for the 4th District being vacated by Buck. Whoever wins that contest to fill out the remaining months of Buck’s term could have an easier path to winning the election in November to serve a full two-year term representing the 4th District in Congress.

That’s left Boebert in a bit of pickle and with a tough decision to make.

Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) arrives to the Capitol for votes on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. (Allison Robbert)

She could resign from her House seat early and seek the GOP nomination in the special election for Buck’s seat, hoping it would better position her for winning the two-year term in November.

The problem with doing that is it would further eat into the House GOP’s narrow majority. Republicans can only afford to lose two votes from their side of the aisle to prevail if Democrats are unified. Buck’s exit does not change that calculus, but it gives the party even less leeway for unexpected sicknesses and absences.

A Boebert resignation would also trigger a special election for her seat, which could flip for Democrats.

Boebert announced Wednesday she won’t resign from her district to run in the special election for Buck’s seat.

“I will not further imperil the already very slim House Republican majority by resigning my current seat and will continue to deliver on my constituents’ priorities while also working hard to earn the votes of the people of Colorado’s 4th District who have made clear they are hungry for a real conservative,” she said in a statement issued through her campaign.

---

Top Stories from The Hill

• Georgia judge expected to rule on Fani Willis disqualification: What we know
• Britt says Mike Johnson told her ‘it will be fine’ ahead of SOTU response
• How Buck’s early retirement is a problem for Boebert
• Immigration fight could trigger shutdown at end of next week

---

Buck’s seat went for Trump by more than 18 points, making whichever Republican wins in June the heavy favorite to represent the seat starting in January.

In a nod to the high stakes, Boebert announced Wednesday on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, that she would hold a live digital fundraiser on Rumble.