© Andrew Harnik/Getty Images | |
|
How far can Vice President Harris ride her recent surge of momentum? Harris has given a much-need jolt of enthusiasm to Democrats, who now see a viable path to the White House and an expanded map of battleground states. The media coverage from the past week has provoked a whiplash effect.
Former President Trump went from the heavy favorite coming out of the GOP convention, to only a slight favorite after President Biden stepped aside.
Harris’s surge also coincided with a rocky start for Trump’s running mate Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), which contributed to an overwhelmingly positive media environment for Democrats and a negative one for Republicans. -
Harris raised $200 million in the week since Biden stepped away.
-
There’s been a 26-point jump in enthusiasm among Democrats, who had become moribund over Biden’s candidacy. Trump’s once-massive lead in enthusiasm has vanished entirely, according to the latest ABC News/Ipsos survey.
- Harris has seen a boost in favorability, while the brief spike Trump experienced following the assassination attempt against him appears to be wearing off. According to the latest ABC News/Ipsos data, Harris’s favorability rating leaped from 35 percent to 43 percent. Trump dropped from 40 percent favorable to 35 percent in that same period.
But Democrats acknowledge Harris’s honeymoon period can’t last forever. -
The Hill’s Alexander Bolton reports that behind the hoopla, Democrats are “privately anxious about her prospects of defeating former President Trump, acknowledging she is largely untested as a candidate and faces serious challenges.”
-
The Hill’s Amie Parnes reports that Democrats are worried about whether Harris will have the same appeal in the “Blue Wall” states that “Scranton Joe” brought to the ticket.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) told The Hill:
“The vice president is the Democratic nominee, and I’m going to do everything I can to make sure she’s the president, but I think for her to become president, she’s going to have to be talking about issues that impact the 60 percent of Americans, working people who are living paycheck to paycheck.” Still, Democrats are talking a bigger game about some of the Sun Belt states that appeared lost with Biden at the head of the ticket.
New polls released over the weekend were decidedly mixed, even if Harris is clearly outperforming Biden: -
Trump leads Harris by 2 points nationally in the latest Wall Street Journal survey. That’s a 4-point improvement for Harris over Biden, but it’s hard to see a path to the White House for Democrats without winning the national vote.
-
The latest Fox News swing states survey finds Trump and Harris effectively tied in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Biden was also tied with Trump in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in the earlier poll, although he trailed by 3 points in Michigan. Harris will likely need to win most or all of those states to win the White House.
-
DecisionDesk HQ summed up the polling movement with a handy chart. The bottom line: Trump still leads by an average of 2 points nationally in 11 polls released since Biden dropped out, which is the same margin as before. Harris has posted small gains on Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Perspectives: |
|
|
Welcome to Evening Report! I’m Jonathan Easley, catching you up from the afternoon and what’s coming tomorrow. Not on the list? Subscribe here. |
|
|
Biden to call for Supreme Court term limits and reforms
|
President Biden will call for Supreme Court term limits and a constitutional amendment reversing the Supreme Court’s presidential immunity ruling in a speech Monday afternoon.
Vice President Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, supports the proposed reforms.
Biden will announce the proposed reforms at the LBJ presidential library in Austin, Texas. He summarized the proposals in an op-ed in The Washington Post: - The constitutional amendment would “make clear that there is no immunity for crimes a former president committed while in office.”
-
The Supreme Court term limits would allow for the president to appoint a justice every two years to spend 18 years “in active service” for the high court.
-
The proposal would implement a “binding code of conduct” on justices, requiring they “refrain from public political activity and recuse themselves from cases in which they or their spouses have financial or other conflicts of interest.”
Former Attorney General Bill Barr accused Biden of trying to purge the court of conservative justices:
“Congress has no business interfering with the actions of the judiciary. It is the separation of powers into three district branches of government that makes our nation strong…Americans want its politicians to keep their political hands off the 150 years of tradition of nine Justices on the Supreme Court of the United States. Americans who care about their freedoms need to speak up and stand up against this attempted coup.”
The proposals won’t go anywhere this year with Republicans holding a majority in the House. -
Biden would likely need massive Democratic gains in November for the term limits proposal to gain traction in a future Congress. Democrats would need to hold more than 60 seats in the Senate to get past the filibuster.
-
The proposed constitutional amendment reversing the immunity ruling would require two-thirds majorities in the House and Senate, as well as ratification by three-fourths of the states.
|
|
|
Trump, Harris campaigns try out new attacks
|
The Trump campaign will be looking to drag Vice President Harris down after her glowing rollout.
Over the weekend, Trump attacked Harris as too liberal, bringing up several positions she took during the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. -
Trump warned Harris would defund the police, abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), and ban fracking.
-
Harris released a statement this weekend saying she would not ban fracking as president. During the primary, she questioned whether more money for police leads to better outcomes, and said there should be a discussion about “starting from scratch” with ICE.
While Harris was riding a wave of positive media coverage last week, the largest Trump super PAC swamped the airwaves in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona.
Ad Impact has the latest numbers of broadcast ads airings in the battlegrounds since Biden dropped out: -
Republicans had a nearly 5-1 advantage in Pennsylvania, a 9-1 advantage in Georgia, and 24-1 advantage in Arizona.
New Democratic lines of attack are also beginning to take hold… - Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg says Trump is too old to serve, turning the tables on Biden’s greatest weakness.
-
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, a potential Harris running mate, is calling Trump and Vance “weird.” The Harris campaign has begun to adopt that line of attack, as well.
-
The Harris campaign will focus on abortion rights. They’re holding a “week of action” as Iowa’s six week abortion ban begins. Walz and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D), another potential running mate for Harris, have welcomed Iowans seeking abortions to their states.
Read more:
|
|
|
© Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images |
|
|
New details emerge in Trump shooting
|
Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe Jr. and Deputy FBI Director Paul Abbate will testify before the Senate Homeland Security and Judiciary committees on Tuesday about the security failures leading up to the assassination attempt on former President Trump. That testimony comes after former Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle repeatedly declined to answer House Judiciary committee questions before resigning last week. Meanwhile, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) announced the members of the bipartisan task force to investigate the shooting.
Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Penn.), who was present at the shooting and represents Butler, Pa., will chair the task force. The full list of seven Republicans and six Democrats can be found here. The latest: |
|
|
“Biden’s passing of the torch was hardly heroic,” by Becket Adams for The Hill.
“Trump’s election lies must be refuted every time he says them,” by Glenn C. Altschuler for The Hill. |
|
|
21 days until the next Democratic National Convention. 43 days until the second presidential debate (maybe).
99 days until 2024 general election. 175 days until Inauguration Day 2025. |
|
|
Monday - Biden marks the 60th anniversary of the Civil Rights Act at the LBJ presidential library in Austin this afternoon. He’ll pay respects to the late Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-Tex.) this evening.
- Trump sits for an interview with Fox News Channel’s Laura Ingraham at 8 p.m.
Tuesday - Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe Jr. and Deputy FBI Director Paul Abbate testify on the attempted assassination against Trump in front of the Senate Homeland and Judiciary Committees.
-
Harris campaigns in Atlanta.
- Vance campaigns in Reno, Nev.
|
|
|
|
