On The Money: Liberal groups pressure Dems over Trump’s tax returns | Top Trump economist says tax cuts powering economy | Trump Jr. slams Theresa May over Brexit delay | Watchdog warns of ‘rosy’ assumptions in Trump budget

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THE BIG DEAL–Liberal groups step up pressure on Dems to request Trump’s tax returns: Progressive organizations said Tuesday that they are ramping up pressure on House Democrats to immediately request President Trump’s tax returns from the Treasury Department, after some lawmakers suggested that the request would likely be made soon.

Tax March and Stand Up America said that they are hosting a “national day of action” for Tuesday, when constituents will urge Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee to publicly demand that the panel’s chairman, Rep. Richard Neal (D-Mass.), immediately ask for Trump’s tax returns.

{mosads}”Chairman Neal has run out of excuses. He’s had over two years of the Trump presidency to prepare for this moment, and his inaction on Trump’s tax returns is a disservice to the American people,” said Stand Up America President Sean Eldridge said in a statement. The Hill’s Naomi Jagoda tells us more about the battle here.

• Tuesday’s call-in to Democratic lawmakers comes two weeks after Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-N.J.), a senior Ways and Means Committee member, predicted that Neal would send the request to Treasury within a couple of weeks. Pascrell said at the time that the timeline was his personal prediction.
• Neal has said that he plans to request Trump’s tax filings. But he says he wants to move methodically on the issue because he thinks the matter is likely to result in a lengthy court case. He has said that he will make the request “when the case is ready.”

LEADING THE DAY

Top Trump economist: Tax cuts powering economy despite global slowdown: The top White House economist on Tuesday said President Trump’s efforts to cut taxes and regulations will help power the U.S. economy through a broader global slowdown.

Kevin Hassett, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), told reporters Tuesday that the 2017 tax-cut bill had created “a fundamental shift” in the economy that would bring years of strong growth and job gains.

“There’s ample room for optimism,” Hassett said during a Tuesday conference call to discuss the CEA’s 2019 economic report to the president.

“We’re pretty confident that the momentum that we’re carrying into this year will continue.” I explain why Hassett is so optimistic here.

The background:

• U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew 2.9 percent in 2018 and 3.1 percent between the fourth quarters of 2018 and 2017. The annualized level was just short of Trump’s 3 percent goal but several notches higher than most public and private sector projections.
• The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), Federal Reserve and a slew of private sector economists had projected GDP to rise closer to 2.5 to 2.7 percent.

The debate:

Critics of the Trump administration and the tax bill instead credit policies enacted by former President Obama for the strong economy, likening the tax bill to little more than a sugar rush.

Hassett attributed the increase to higher levels of business spending, infrastructure investment and purchases of capital equipment, which he said would boost the U.S. economy even as Europe and China appear close to recessions.

“We actually cut taxes to encourage people to build new factories.  And we had new factories last year,” Hassett said. “We’re going to get more new factories this year, but we’re also going to get the output from the factories we built last year as they turn them on.”

The numbers:

• Business investment in machines, tools and other productivity-boosting equipment reached $300 billion in 2018, $26.4 billion more than the pre-2017 trend, according to CEA.

• The U.S. added 215,000 machine manufacturing jobs in 2018, which CEA said was 301,000 more jobs than the pre-2017 trend. The CEA also cited higher levels of commercial and industrial loans held by banks since Trump signed a bipartisan bill to loosen post-crisis lending restrictions, capital requirements and other stability mandates.  

Watchdog warns ‘rosy economic assumptions’ permeate Trump’s budget proposal: President Trump’s 2020 spending proposal used overly optimistic economic projections that would have resulted in a balanced budget after 25 years without any of the cuts to non-defense programs put forth by the administration, according to a new analysis.

The White House budget request for fiscal year 2020 calls for deep cuts to non-defense spending, as well as massive reductions to entitlement programs like Medicare, citing the need to lower the deficit. The approach would balance the budget after 15 years, instead of the 10-year frame typically used in federal budgeting, the White House estimated.

But an analysis published Tuesday by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a group that advocates for deficit reduction, found that the budget would be balanced after 25 years, even if the 2017 GOP tax-cut law were extended, based solely on the administration’s high-growth estimates.

“Rosy economic assumptions – not serious spending cuts – deserve most of the credit,” the analysis found. The Hill’s Niv Elis explains why.

Trump Jr. slams Brexit delay: Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of President Trump, slammed the Brexit delay, saying British Prime Minister Theresa May should “have taken my father’s advice” on managing the process.

Trump Jr. said the delay in Britain exiting the European Union, which British voters approved nearly three years ago, showed the “will of the people” was being ignored.

He made the case in an opinion piece he wrote for British newspaper The Telegraph titled “Theresa May should have taken my father’s advice on Brexit.”

“Mrs May ignored advice from my father, and ultimately, a process that should have taken only a few short months has become a years-long stalemate, leaving the British people in limbo,” he wrote.

President Trump has previously said he had advised May on how to negotiate Brexit, lamenting that “she didn’t listen.”

The Hill’s Tal Axelrod has more here.

GOOD TO KNOW

• Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.), the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee’s antitrust subcommittee, on Tuesday called for the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to probe whether Facebook has violated U.S. antitrust laws.
• FedEx stock dropped more than 5 percent after the end of Tuesday trading following disappointing third-quarter earnings and a warning of deep global turmoil from the shipping company.
• President Trump on Tuesday nominated former Delta Air Lines executive Steve Dickson to lead the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).
• Some U.S. negotiators are concerned that China is recoiling at White House demands in trade talks even as President Trump signals optimism about reaching a deal, according to Bloomberg.
• A three-judge U.S. appeals court panel “signaled sympathy toward President Trump on Tuesday in his appeal in a Democratic-backed lawsuit that accuses him of violating anti-corruption provisions of the Constitution with his Washington hotel,” according to Reuters.

ODDS AND ENDS

• President Trump on Tuesday suggested that Google, Facebook and Twitter have colluded with each other to discriminate against Republicans.
• Op-Ed: Pınar Cebi Wilber, chief economist at the American Council for Capital Formation, writes on the difficulties of finding the true cost of the Green New Deal.