Business & Economy

On The Money — Democrats set up chaotic end-of-year stretch

Happy Monday and welcome to On The Money, your nightly guide to everything affecting your bills, bank account and bottom line. Subscribe here: digital-release.digital-release.thehill.com/newsletter-signup.

Today’s Big Deal: Democrats are facing a challenging remainder of the year as they seek to pass key economic priorities. We’ll also tell you about calls for overhauling the debt limit and this year’s winners of the Nobel prize in economics.

For The Hill, we’re Naomi Jagoda and Aris Folley. You can reach Naomi at njagoda@digital-release.digital-release.thehill.com or @NJagoda and Aris at afolley@digital-release.digital-release.thehill.com or @ArisFolley. You can also reach our Finance team colleague Sylvan Lane at slane@digital-release.digital-release.thehill.com or @SylvanLane

Let’s get to it.

Lawmakers face busy three months

Democrats are facing a daunting stretch as the party struggles to get beyond internal battles to win approval of President Biden’s agenda — and deal with other crises that have effectively been punted to the Christmas season.

Democrats are entering the home stretch of the year with four big priorities: funding the government, raising the debt ceiling and passing both the bipartisan infrastructure bill and a sweeping social spending measure.

It’s a stretch that could make or break Biden’s agenda and will surely set up battles for next year’s midterm elections.

The Hill’s Jordain Carney has more here.

LEADING THE DAY

Growing number of Democrats endorse abolishing debt limit altogether

The House is scheduled to pass a short-term debt limit increase on Tuesday, after the Senate passed the measure last week. Some Democrats are calling for taking the debt limit out of Congress’s hands going forward.

The calls are coming from prominent voices such as House Budget Committee Chairman John Yarmuth (D-Ky.) and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who want to eliminate the debt limit in its current form.

They argue that members of Congress should not be able to use the threat of a debt default as political leverage ever again — an approach that would respond to GOP stonewalling by playing some hardball of their own. 

 

EYES ON THE PRIZE

The 2021 Nobel Prize for economics was awarded on Monday to three U.S.-based economists, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced.

Half of the prize was awarded to David Card, a Canadian-born professor at the University of California, Berkeley, for his contributions to labor economics. The other half of the prize was awarded to Joshua Angrist, an American-born professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Guido Imbens, a Dutch-born professor at Stanford University.

Peter Fredriksson, chair of the Economic Sciences Prize Committee, said the three prize winners’ research “has substantially improved our ability to answer key causal questions, which has been of great benefit to society.”

Read more here.

 

FORECASTS FOR U.S. GROWTH SLIP

Economists for Goldman Sachs have lowered their forecasts for U.S. growth this year and next, citing a delayed recovery in consumer spending. 

In a new report, economists forecasted gross domestic product (GDP) expansion of 5.6 percent this year, down from the 5.7 percent previously estimated. The report also projected GDP growth of 4 percent in 2022, compared to the previous 4.3 percent estimate.

The new estimates come just days after the Labor Department released data showing U.S. employers added 194,000 jobs last month, falling significantly short of economists’ expectations.

Read more here.

 

Good to Know

World Bank Group President David Malpass said on Monday the Earth is seeing “tragic reversals in development” due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Here’s what else have our eye on:

 

That’s it for today. Thanks for reading and check out The Hill’s Finance page for the latest news and coverage. We’ll see you Tuesday.

Business & Economy