The Hill Poll Week 2

District by district – Tennessee

TENNESSEE-08

Republican candidate up by 10 points in Dem seat

{mosads}Farmer
and gospel singer Stephen Fincher was one of the National Republican
Congressional Committee’s top recruits, and he’s performing like it.

The
Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll shows him leading Democrat Roy Herron
by 10 points in the race for retiring Rep. John Tanner’s (D) seat. And
14 percent of likely voters are undecided.

Independents are
breaking for Fincher 53 percent to 23, although 20 percent say they
remain undecided. The bad news for Herron is that 70 percent of
independents said their negative view of President Obama will influence
their vote in November.

Another obstacle for Herron is the 30
percent of respondents who said they had a negative view of him. That’s
likely a result of the $568,432 the NRCC has spent on TV ads against
him. Herron has run contrast spots against Fincher, but the
Republican’s unfavorable rating is only at 20 percent by comparison.

Fincher is leading among male and female voters, while younger voters are breaking toward Herron.

The
Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 2-7, surveyed 416 likely voters via the
telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
District by district
Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: The results so far

District by

district results

Arkansas
Illinois
West Virginia
Hawaii
New Hampshire
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Tennessee
Washington

The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election

About the poll

GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight

Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election

Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican

Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
Editorial: Knowing who will win

District by
district results

Arizona
Colorado
Illinois
Maryland
Michigan
Nevada
New Mexico
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia