The Hill Poll Week 2

District by district – Arkansas

ARKANSAS-01

Republicans could end Dems’ 100-year lock on this seat

Democrats have held this seat for over a century, but Rep. Marion Berry’s (D-Ark.) retirement could mark the end of the party’s reign.

{mosads}The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll found that Republican Rick Crawford leads by 12 points, 46 percent to 34. Seventeen percent of likely voters are undecided.

Democrat Chad Causey, a former Berry staffer, faces his widest gap among independent voters, who support Crawford 51 percent to 24.

Crawford, a former Army sergeant who now owns a farm-news network, leads among male and female voters and with voters across all age groups.

This seat has been trending Republican: John McCain won it with 59 percent in 2008. And President Obama gets low marks from voters — 62 percent disapprove of the job he’s doing. Congressional disapproval is even higher — 76 percent think Congress is doing a bad job.

And 70 percent of voters said the president would be a factor in their 2010 decision.

Also, a majority of voters, 39 percent, said they have a better view of President George W. Bush now than they had when he first left office. Only 27 percent had a worse view, and 30 percent said they saw him “about the same.”

The NRCC has spent around $337,000 in this district, while the DCCC has spent about $304,000.

The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 5-7, surveyed 409 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
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Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: The results so far

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district results

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The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election

About the poll

GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight

Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election

Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican

Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
Editorial: Knowing who will win

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